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Abstract

In the view of many social scientists, the more probable a theory is, the better it is, and if we have to choose between (e&eb) two theories which are equally strong in terms of (e&eb) their explanatory power, and differ only in that one is (=) probable and the other is improbable, then we should choose (e&eb) the former. Popper rejects (e) this. Science, or to be precise, the working scientist, is interested, in Popper's view, in theories with (e&eb) a high informative content, because such theories possess (e) a high predictive power and are (=) consequently highly testable. But if this is true, Popper argues, then, paradoxical as it may sound, the more improbable a theory is (eb) the better it is scientifically, because (e) the probability and informative content of (e) a theory vary inversely—the higher the informative content of a theory (eb) the lower will be its probability....

The full paper: http://www.iiste.org/PDFshare/APTA-PAGENO-493062-496947.pdf