Statistical Modeling of Patronage of Commercial Motorcycle Transport Services and Factor Specifics: An Emerging Intra-Urban Study Auchi, Nigeria.

Abstract

It is generally believe and unarguably understandable that economic, political, social and cultural reasons compel people to move from place to place in order to seek the benefits and other reasons capable of improving life, education/exposure and transaction. Thus, transportation is a derived demand. This paper critically study the factor specifics responsible for patronage of commercial motorcycle transport service with a view to devising empirical model that may establish relationship between patronage and identified factor specific such as social-economic, choice and reason for patronage. Structured questionnaires were administered based on stratified and random samplings. Standardized likert scale was used to mine the data for the study. The analysis was carried out electronically using statistical software Gretl 2.8. The model indicated direct relationship between the level of patronage and choice of motorcycle operators by patron but have inverse relationship among socioeconomic, reason and level of patronage of commercial motorcycle transport services. It showed that a relative change in the reasons for not patronizing motorcycle, factor determining choice of motorcycle operators by patron and social economic characteristics of patrons will result in 154.7% decrease, 44.8% increase and 105.7% decrease in the level of patronage of commercial motorcycle transport services in Auchi intra-urban in Nigeria.

Keywords: Gretl, Okada, Statistical Modeling, Patrons, Auchi, Motorcycle Services