Understanding uptake and interrelationship of climatic agricultural innovations in rural Zambia: Evaluating seasonal climate forecast use and weather shocks

Abstract

Due to its overreliance on rainfed agriculture, Zambia’s agricultural sector is vulnerable to climatic risks. Although researchers have recommended Climate-Smart Agriculture innovations as an effective panacea to the problem, there is a nascent empirical literature supporting how seasonal climate forecast use informs the adoption of these innovations. Therefore, this study aimed to address this gap. Using the Multivariate Probit (MVP) estimation framework, the results indicate that these innovations are complementary. Additionally, demographic factors, such as household member size, age, and education, influenced adoption decisions. Other factors that have a positive impact on innovation uptake include social networking, financial inclusion, and access to extension services. Geographical and climate considerations were pivotal in shaping adoption decisions, as demonstrated by the differences in agroecological zones and climate variability, which influenced the suitability of different innovations. A shared observation of this study is that seasonal climate forecasts and financial incentives positively impact adoption. We contribute to an enhanced understanding of the factors that drive the adoption of these agricultural innovations in Zambia. In addition, the findings will inform policymakers on implementing policies geared towards interventions that encourage farmers to use complimentary portfolios through training and education programs, social networking, information dissemination, and financial inclusion.

Keywords: Climate Change, Climate Information, Climate Smart Agriculture, Sustainable Development Goals, Innovations, Economic Growth

DOI: 10.7176/JBAH/14-1-08

Publication date: May 31^st 2024