What Strategy for Optimal Health in Poorest Developing Countries

Abstract

This article shows how the international organizations’ goal i.e zero discrimination in health care access may lead to zero HIV new infection and zero decease in Africa. A macroeconomic model is used to study the achievement of this goal. Whereas the macroeconomic literature studies the impact of HIV/AIDS on the economic growth, this analysis assimilates the HIV/AIDS virus to a perfect foresight dynamics to study health alteration process. The results found are: before the “seropositivity”, vaccine may be efficient. In the transition between the HIV and the AIDS thresholds, medical-care may slow death process. After the cross of the AIDS threshold, the organism converges to the dead zone. Indeed, HIV eradication needs population implication on the one hand and the cooperation between the low cost pharmaceutical companies and the poor countries government with the international organizations on the other hand.

Keywords: HIV/AIDS Threshold; HIV/AIDS; Medical-care; Dead zone