Demographic Analysis of the Effect of Some Determinants of Fertility on Fertility Intentions – The Rural and Urban Factor

Abstract

A demographic analysis of the effect of some contextual determinants of fertility on fertility intentions was carried out in this study in two local governments of Ondo State namely Akure South Local Government (an urban setting) and Ifedore Local Government (a rural setting). The data used for this study was gathered with the aid of questionnaires applied on some women of reproductive age in these LGAs (511 questionnaires returned). The statistical tools used in the analysis include Binary Logistic Regression Analysis, Chi-Square Analysis, Percentages and graphical representation. Findings revealed that age at birth of first child, current age of a woman; educational status as well as place of residence significantly affect fertility intentions of women generally. However, analysis of these variables on local government basis revealed that their effects are more pronounced in the rural than in the urban area. The place of residence (rural/urban factor) is seen in this analysis to have played a strong role in the contribution of the demographic variables under consideration to the number of children desired by women in the study.

Keywords: Place of residence, fertility intentions, Binary logistic regression