Forecast, Trend, Growth, and Instability of Internet Users in Bangladesh

Abstract

Bangladesh's internet, like that of many other industrialized and developing countries, has grown rapidly. Despite the challenges of growing internet access and usage, the government places a high priority on the growth of the internet and information technology. This study attempts to measure the trend, growth, and instability of internet users. At the same time, an attempt has been made to forecast the number of internet users. This Secondary data has been collected from http://www.internetlivestats.com/internet-users/bangladesh link. Different types of statistical methodology such as t-test, correlation, simple linear regression, semi-log growth model, coefficient of variation, and Arima (0,2,1) model have been used here. The value of growth rate and CV around the trend line of internet users in each period is much higher. At the same time, the number of internet users is increasing very fast. Result also shows that in 2023, almost all people in Bangladesh may use the Internet. As a result, the growth rate of internet users at every period is considerably larger, and the number of internet users at every period is very unstable. The government and numerous NGOs must work together to make the internet available to all people of the country.

Keywords: Forecast, Trend, Growth, Internet, Instability, Bangladesh

DOI: 10.7176/CEIS/13-4-01

Publication date:August 31^st 2022