Forecasting Road Accident using Least Square Method: A Case Study of Lagos State, Nigeria

Abstract

The researchers use Least Square Method to forecast Total Road Accident (TRA) and Total Person Killed (TPK) in Lagos State. It was observed that the trend of TRA and TPK continue to reduce and in years to come, it will further reduce the more.  The researchers further observed that Government effort in Lagos State is a major factor.  It is however recommended that the State Government should not put an end to the developmental programme going on in the state especially in the area of transportation.

Keywords: Death, Accident, Least Square Method, Transportation, Lagos State, Forecasting, Seasonal.