Market Reaction to The Announcement of General Election Result of The President and Vice President of Indonesia in 2019 (Study on LQ 45 Stock Index on The Indonesia Stock Exchange)

Abstract

This study aims to determine the impact of political issues on market reaction when announcing the results of the 2019 Indonesian president and vice president election. The population in this study are all companies listed on the LQ45 Stock Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from February 2019 to July 2019. Sample taken by using the census method of 45 companies. The type of data used is quantitative and qualitative data obtained from secondary sources collected by the nonparticipant observation method. To test the information content, this study uses an event study approach. In this study there were two periods of events tested, namely the announcement of the results of the presidential and vice presidential elections in 2019 based on the quick count of the Survey Institute and the real count of the General Election Commission. To test the significance of abnormal returns the One Sample Test is used. The results of this study indicate that at the time of the announcement of the general election results based on the Survey Institute's quick count, there was a significant positive average abnormal return on the second day after the event date, while at the announcement of the general election results based on the General Election Commission's real count, there was no abnormal average significant return after the event date. The results concluded that the market must carefully search for information and be able to predict situations that are influenced by political issues to avoid risk.

Keywords: event study, abnormal return, market reaction, political issues

DOI: 10.7176/EJBM/12-3-15

Publication date: January 31^st 2020